Palantir Outperforms Micron in Year-to-Date Gains

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On Monday morning, December 16th, just before the opening bell on Wall Street, a quiet but notable event unfolded in the financial markets—one that caught the attention of traders and analysts alikeThe reason? The Nasdaq 100 index underwent a major annual reshuffling, with six companies either being added or removed from the index, causing substantial fluctuations in their stock pricesThe changes—three companies were set to join the index, while three others were set to be removed—created significant ripples across the market, with the price movements of the affected stocks becoming the focal point of the day’s trading activity.

Nasdaq’s announcement of its annual index rebalancing last week revealed that Palantir Technologies, MicroStrategy, and Axon would be added to the Nasdaq 100, while Illumina, Moderna, and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) would be removed

The rebalancing is set to take effect before the market opens on December 23rd, and it triggered a series of immediate responses in pre-market trading.

The early price movements of the newly added stocks spoke volumes about investor sentimentMicroStrategy, a company that has garnered attention for its large-scale Bitcoin purchases, saw its stock price surge by more than 4.6% in pre-market tradingThe company's position in the cryptocurrency space, especially its ongoing investment in Bitcoin, has garnered significant investor interest, which seemed to accelerate upon its inclusion in the Nasdaq 100. Meanwhile, Axon, a leader in law enforcement technology with its widely used Taser devices and body cameras, rose by more than 3%, continuing its strong upward momentumPalantir, the data analytics company renowned for its artificial intelligence (AI) and big data solutions, saw a more modest gain of 0.3%, though at one point during pre-market trading, its shares had risen by as much as 2%.

On the flip side, the companies being removed from the index faced notable declines in their stock prices

Illumina, a key player in the genetics space, saw its shares dip by nearly 0.6%, while Moderna, the biotech company behind one of the leading COVID-19 vaccines, dropped by a similar marginAdvanced Micro Devices (AMD), which has long been a heavyweight in the semiconductor industry, experienced a sharp drop of more than 12%. This sudden and significant decline underscored the market’s sensitivity to index rebalancing, with funds that track the Nasdaq 100 needing to adjust their holdings accordingly.

The Nasdaq 100 index, often regarded as a “curated version” of the broader Nasdaq Composite index, is known for including the 100 largest, most liquid, and most industry-representative companies within the Nasdaq stock exchangeThese companies are often considered the cream of the crop in the tech-heavy market, and their inclusion in the index can be a powerful catalyst for stock performance

The reason is simple: index funds and other passive investment vehicles tend to buy and hold the stocks that are part of the index, causing a steady inflow of capital into these companiesThis influx of capital can push their stock prices higher, providing a self-reinforcing cycle of growth.

Conversely, being removed from the Nasdaq 100 is often seen as a signal of weakening prospects, which can lead to the outflow of capital from these companiesFunds that track the index will need to sell their holdings in the removed stocks, creating downward pressure on their pricesThis dynamic of “inflow” and “outflow” is a key driver of the price movements witnessed in the stocks of the companies impacted by the annual rebalancing.

The changes to the Nasdaq 100 did not come as a surprise to many market observersMicroStrategy and Palantir’s inclusion had been anticipated given their impressive stock performance over the past year

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Palantir, for instance, has seen its stock soar by 343% year-to-date as of last Friday’s closeThis places it among the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500, far outpacing other technology giants such as Nvidia, which gained 171%, and Vistra Energy, which rose by 279%. Palantir’s success is often attributed to its leadership in AI software applications, as more and more companies turn to its platforms to test and implement artificial intelligence across various industries.

Palantir’s focus on government contracts has played a critical role in its rapid growthThe company’s platforms have been used by some of the most prominent government agencies in the U.S., including the FBI, NSA, and CIAOver the years, Palantir has expanded its operations to support global government initiatives, with CEO Alex Karp even becoming the first Western CEO to visit Ukraine after the onset of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, where he met with President Volodymyr Zelensky.

MicroStrategy, too, has been in the spotlight for its aggressive Bitcoin acquisition strategy

The company has made headlines for its massive purchase of Bitcoin, and its stock has become increasingly tied to the price of the cryptocurrencyEarlier this month, CEO Michael Saylor stated that MicroStrategy views itself as a “Bitcoin proxy,” a sentiment that seems to have been embraced by the market as the company’s Bitcoin holdings continue to growThe company’s inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 reflects the increasing importance of cryptocurrencies in the broader financial market.

On the other hand, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), once considered a major player in the AI and semiconductor sectors, has faced a more complicated narrativeThe company has recently been embroiled in a series of investigations, including a deep inquiry by the U.SDepartment of JusticeMoreover, its longtime auditing partner, Ernst & Young, resigned in October, citing concerns over the company’s governance and transparency

These challenges have contributed to AMD’s exclusion from the Nasdaq 100, highlighting the risks associated with corporate governance issues and regulatory scrutiny.

The removal of Illumina and Moderna from the index also underscores the ever-changing dynamics of the biotech and healthcare sectorsWhile both companies had previously been beneficiaries of the pandemic-driven vaccine boom, their stock prices have faced headwinds as the global healthcare landscape shifts in response to new challengesIllumina, for example, has struggled with competition in the genetic sequencing space, while Moderna’s vaccine sales have plateaued as the world moves into a post-pandemic era.

For investors and traders, the Nasdaq 100 reshuffling serves as a stark reminder of how quickly fortunes can change in the marketCompanies that once enjoyed dominant positions can quickly find themselves on the outside looking in, while others can rise rapidly through the ranks based on strong performance, market sentiment, and strategic positioning

For those holding index-tracking ETFs, these adjustments can create immediate impacts on portfolio allocations, leading to shifts in the market dynamics as the affected stocks experience inflows or outflows of capital.

The Nasdaq 100’s rebalancing also speaks to the broader trend in the stock market of increasing institutional participation, with passive investment strategies continuing to play a dominant role in driving capital flowsAs investors increasingly rely on exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other passive investment vehicles to gain exposure to the market, the selection and composition of major indexes like the Nasdaq 100 become crucial factors in determining the performance of individual stocks.

In the coming days and weeks, market participants will be closely watching the continued movements of the stocks that have been affected by the Nasdaq 100 rebalancing